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Florida flimflam

05 Feb 2025 | OP ED Watch

The explanation from the Climate Adaptation Center that we mentioned last week about all that Florida snow is, paradoxically, so feeble it deserves to be quoted at length. It does at least admit that “This Florida snow event might seem contradictory to the concept of climate warming”, apparently what you get when you cross global warming with climate change, before brushing it aside like a fine white powder on a Jacksonville sidewalk: “but it aligns with how warming can intensify certain weather extremes.” And that’s rigour for you. So what’s the deal? How exactly does something called variously “global warming” or “global heating” cause record snow in Florida?

Well, first, that piece notes that Pensacola got not more fire, floods or hurricanes. Instead it got “7.6 inches of snow, surpassing its previous record of 3 inches set in 1895”. And Milton, evidently also a place in the normally “Sunshine State”, “reported up to 8.8 inches, smashing the state record of 4 inches, also set in Milton back in 1954.” And when records are smashed, which in this case is not hyperbole, well um uh see:

“Climate warming has increased ocean temperatures, which leads to higher evaporation rates. This puts more moisture into the atmosphere. When a cold front or polar air mass moves into a region like Florida, this excess moisture can translate into heavier precipitation, including snow when conditions are cold enough.”

Yeah see it’s that “when conditions are cold enough” thing we’re having trouble squaring with the warming business. Ah but jet stream Arctic word salad:

“Climate warming, particularly in the Arctic, weakens the temperature gradient between the equator and the poles. This can destabilize the jet stream, causing it to become wavier. These undulations can pull unusually cold air from the Arctic far south into regions like Florida, creating the rare conditions necessary for snow. In fact, most of the cold air is now in the USA and the North Pole is exceeding warm. The Polar Vortex essentially came loose!”

Nooooo! Polar Vortex on the loose! And who wants to quibble that “climate warming” isn’t some demon or other causal agent that can “weaken the temperature gradient” while wreaking all manner of other havoc, it’s a description of things getting warmer?

No, instead we need to holler that of course it’s all worse weather all the time:

“The warming climate increases atmospheric moisture and destabilizes weather patterns while amplifying the severity of storm systems. Most of the time, this is with warm storms but sometimes it can be with cold ones. This is one of them.”

At least they noticed that it was cold. Now if only they could notice that storms were neither less frequent nor less ferocious during the Little Ice Age. Instead we get the QED: “paradoxically, a warming planet can create the right mix of conditions for rare and intense snow events, even in places like Florida!” Indeed! Or weather is unstable and you’re making it up as you go along.

By the way we got curious about this “Climate Adaptation Center” and found on their website, under financials, that “CAC is in the 2020/2021 startup phase of our development.” Which we also find hard to believe since our calendar says 2025. But then our thermometer says hot is hot and cold is cold, so we’re a bit behind the times. Or ahead depending which you check.

As has been noted, including by us, the trouble with a theory that explains everything, post facto, is that it explains nothing and makes no testable predictions. And sometimes it doesn’t even know what to postdict.

Of course some outlets handled it by the usual method of writing about cold weather without using the word climate. Including Scientific Alarmism, and also Reuters, in a piece that included:

“Florida may have already broken its all-time record of snowfall with 9 inches in the western Panhandle town of Milton, near Pensacola, according to Frank Pereira, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s Weather Prediction Center.”

And also:

“The U.S. Northeast was facing another day of frigid cold temperatures. The lowest temperature recorded in the contiguous United States on Wednesday was a harsh -27 degrees Fahrenheit (-32 C) in Davis, West Virginia, according to the National Weather Service.”

But weather, weather everywhere, and not a climate to cite.

Others rushed in hastily. Perhaps too hastily. According to weather.com, which hadn’t quite got its story straight:

“The system, named Winter Storm Enzo by The Weather Channel, was a once-in-a-lifetime winter storm for areas of Louisiana and Alabama that saw snow totals beyond 10 inches. Coteau, Louisiana, saw more than 13 inches, and Rayne, Louisiana, saw more than 11 inches of snowfall. The storm also dumped snow on parts of Georgia and the Carolinas, including Savannah and Charleston. Even parts of Florida saw heavy accumulation.”

So instead of the sort of unusually-hot-in-northern-places climate heating breakdown, we have unusually-cold-in-southern-places. Including “‘What made this most memorable is how far south the snow made it…. We even saw the first-ever blizzard warning in Louisiana,’ said weather.com senior meteorologist Dina Knightly. ‘Now, some cities in the South have more snow this season than some cities in the North.’”

Oh, like the ones with “frigid cold temperatures”? Awkward. But never mind. Back to the usual story. Enzo:

“hit in areas much more used to hurricanes than winter weather. ‘Many of these cities likely won’t ever see this much snow ever again when you factor in our changing climate, and if they do, we likely won’t be around to see it,’ said weather.com digital meteorologist Jonathan Belles.”

So are you saying climate warming does or does not make it snow in the South?

Or both or neither depending which way the polar vortex is blowing today?

7 comments on “Florida flimflam”

  1. It wasn’t just the snow in the Florida Panhandle— it was the freezing cold. I’m still waiting to hear how Global Warming gives us Florida residents pipe bursting cold with temps approaching single digits.

  2. Yes folks it was -27 in Davis, WV, but I'm sure that it was even more frigid up at the Snowshoe Ski Resort, Dolly Sods, and Spruce Knob, each of which are several hundred feet higher in altitude than Davis, WV. I've heard from a reliable source that it has snowed at Dolly Sods at least once each month of the year over the past 75 years. Just normal for that part of the region.

  3. All is explained once you realize that climate change ceased to be a science long ago, if indeed it ever was, and has become a religion. We have sinned and the climate gods are angry with us! The high priests of climate science have said so! The holy saints (Greta Thunberg for one) are interceding with the climate gods on our behalf! Climate deniers will be doomed to a hellscape of nuclear and CCGT power plants while the pure at heart will live forever in a world of renewable energy where the wind always blows (but gently) and the sun aways shines. Alleluia!

    Did I mention I have a bridge in Brooklyn that I’d like to sell you?

  4. Unreal.Snow where it rarely snows is because of a warming climate?And also,seasonally low,even extremely low temperatures are because of a warming climate?Would you like to buy some shares in a new stock that's a sure winner?Bre-X,ya can't lose!

  5. Well, the whole thing about temperature gradients being less between the poles and the equator does match observations of a warmer world. If these gradients are less, it could make sense that any jet stream or other phenomenon that is normally bound by a steep temperature gradient can move around more in this scenario. So that part actually makes some sense. What I fail to see though is the admission from these zealots that hurricanes and the like are caused by STEEP temperature gradients, so we should be seeing LESS storms and potentially less severe storms (observations seem to match this prediction, but we need to wait 100 years to see if it's just random or an actual pattern shift). Strange weather in unusual places is more likely in a warmer world, but it also tends to be less extreme (from a global perspective).

  6. Not sure if there is an answer to this question.

    Northern Ohio had blizzards and severe cold in 1977/78. How did the alledged Polar Vortex cause this frigid cold front? Are we to believe when Winters in Northern Ohio that had Snow from Thanksgiving to End OF March was just normal weather and had nothing to do with the Jet Stream pulling down frigid air from the Arctic? I am missing something. Can some one explain?

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