As far as we’re concerned, it is premature to conclude with high confidence that increasing atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations from human activities have had a detectable impact on Atlantic basin hurricane activity. Yeah yeah, some will huff in reply, you would say that, wouldn’t you? Being a bunch of know-nothing deniers and all. But in fact we are know-something deniers, because we do fact checks and those words are from a consensus statement among climate scientists posted on the NOAA web page and quoted by our source for this week’s data and recommendation to you when doing your own fact checks: Dr. Ryan Maue of the Climatlas website. And when you see the data for yourself, it becomes so obvious even a climate scientist would have to admit global warming isn’t making hurricanes worse. Which makes you wonder why so many activists, politicians and even scientists are, well, know-nothing deniers on such a clear point.
Here is the record of global hurricane frequency, broken down by storm type:
Since 1970 the number of tropical storms hasn’t gone up. Neither has the number of hurricanes. In fact each has gone down slightly. As for the fraction that become major hurricanes, it appears to have gone up. But there’s a controversy around that because back in the 1970s the measurements of storm intensity weren’t as accurate as they are today.
Another measure that attempts to get at this issue is the Accumulated Cyclone Energy or ACE Index:
This number attempts to calculate total storm power, a useful measure since clearly you’d rather have 10 minor hurricanes in a year than four monsters. And over the sample period here we do see a peak in the early 1990s. But it has drifted down since rather than continuing to rise as climate change blah blah blah.
Hurricane season, which runs from June 1 through November 30, is thus over for 2024. But it will be back in 2025, and when it appears and the alarmists want to blame every storm that either happens or doesn’t happen on climate change, you will be prepared because you will know where to #Lookitup.
As usual,all these data and graphs show no trend of increasing frequency or intensity of storms or hurricanes.What has increased in frequency and intensity is mainstream media coverage and levels of alarmism and hysteria.And the amount of property damage has increased significantly due to greatly increased populations and number of buildings,homes,businesses,etc.Which are also valued a lot higher than even a few years ago.