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#LookItUp: Changes in US flooding magnitude and frequency

04 Jun 2025 | Science Notes

As we somehow survive another spring flood season unwashed-away, we are reminded of the nonstop nightmare of climate change making floods bigger and more frequent, except where they are becoming smaller and less frequent. Like in the US. And how do we know? Because it turns out there is data and you can #LookItUp on the US Environmental Protection Agency website. Flood magnitude and frequency went up from 1965 to 2015 at many locations in the Northeast, but down over most of the rest of the US, and the overall average was down on both measures.

Here is the map showing change in flood magnitudes. The blue arrows (increasing) are clustered in the Northeast, the Pacific Northwest and a few Midwest areas. Everywhere else it’s down, and a quick check of the underlying data (available at the same site) confirms that the overall average is downward:

The map showing flooding frequency looks very similar:

Up in the Northeast, Pacific Northwest and a few Midwest areas and down everywhere else. And down overall on average.

Actual floods are no fun and to anyone who had to deal with one this year we send our sympathies. But to anyone who had to deal with a flood of alarmist claims that climate change is causing larger and more frequent real ones, we send data and we encourage you to #LookItUp.

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